I have produced a newsletter with heading "Vote Socialist, Green or Liberal Democrat and prepare for Greece-style revolt!", downloadable in Word or PDF format from http://PRsocialism.org.
After the live TV debate between Cameron, Brown and Clegg (leaders of Tories, Labour and Lib Dems respectively), I came to the conclusion that the Lib Dems would almost certainly win the general election, probably getting an overall majority. I decided to make a couple of bets, #10 each, which I did at Ladbrokes (66/1 for most seats, 150/1 for more than rest put together) via an internet account (but I had to phone up to make them and it took a while for the options to appear on the employee's computer, presumably to discourage some potential punters with Ladbrokes worried about losing a lot of money!) Despite the latest poll showing the Lib Dems at 30%, ahead of Labour, the odds are still 33/1 and 66/1 respectively!!! That's what comes of having few rich backers, unlike Labour and the Tories...
I have noticed, though, that the results of football matches mirror political developments to quite a large extent. Man Utd (and FC United) tend to do well when their fans are in a good mood, which tends to happen when society moves to the left. I therefore thought it very likely that United will beat City in the derby this afternoon, and put a token bet of #1 at 6/4.
This morning I made a couple more bets, #10 on United winning the Premier League at 7/1 and another #10 at 5/1 on Dimitar Berbatov scoring the first goal in the derby! The latter is a bit of a punt, but it would annoy City fans so much if this happens with them so adamant that Tevez is a better player (if United win of course!) Tevez commented that he "didn't feel part of the United family" (or something like that) - he wasn't committed to United. Berbatov gets criticised for being "lazy" but it's good to have a striker who doesn't track back all the time but conserves his energy! Not everyone has to defend!!!
Come on you reds!
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The derby match went even better than I predicted! The 93rd minute goal, in injury time but not "Fergie time", was wonderful and I think I must have been the only person with MUST (pun intended) who still thought we would score with 30 seconds to go!!!
ReplyDeleteBetter than Berbatov scoring was Paul Scholes doing so, because he came through the youth system. City have entirely (or almost entirely) bought their way to lack of success and utter mediocrity! Enjoyed singing my "Manchester Shitty FC" song with MUST people, in the centre of Manchester (including to a bunch of alcohol-fueled City fans outside a pub with the police turning up and asking me to go back to Norwich) and in the Oxford pub seeing the tremendous Tottenham demolition of Chelsea. [Having finally bought a green-and-yellow scarf symbolising my support for United and hatred towards the Glazers, a common refrain from the despondent City fans was mentioning Norwich. One person even asked me what ground Norwich play at - I don't think he liked me saying "Carrow Road", completely unflustered!]
The odds had changed after those two results to 6/5 on United winning the title. Good timing!
I put a few more political bets on yesterday, reflecting the ongoing shift to the left in society of which the Lib Dem surge is the major trigger but just one element:
1/4 bnp getting no seats £10
4/11 ukip getting no seats £10
8/11 greens getting at least 1 seat £10
6/4 mebyon kernow saving deposit in one seat £1
4/1 6 or more seats for independents £1
The last two were just interesting punts - being an eighth Cornish, Mebyon Kernow who are struggling for a Cornish Assembly seemed worthy of support; the eighth is actually a tin-mining family, and I planned to sue Manchester City Council for an eighth of my poll tax since ancient law says Cornish tin miners are ineligible for poll taxes!!! This idea is explored in my musical poem "PC783 is very sexy". See http://socialiststeve.in/lyrics/pc783.html (or http://socialiststeve.me.uk/lyrics/pc783.html but that site is inaccesible, almost certainly due to censorship, at the moment).